ジャーナリストMurray Dobbinが、TPPなどグローバリズムの政策が失敗しつつあると述べた。

The second nail in the coffin of free trade consensus in the U.S. came from a U.S. International Trade Commission (ITC) analysis of the benefits the U.S. could expect from the even larger deal, the TPP. The report, released this past week, will be difficult for promoters to explain away:

"...the ITC estimates a worsening balance of trade for 16 out of 25 U.S. agriculture, manufacturing, and services sectors... Indeed, output in the manufacturing sector would be $11.2 billion lower with TPP than without it in 2032... the proposed 12-nation trade deal will increase the U.S. global trade deficit by $21.7 billion by 2032."

合衆国国際貿易委員会によると、25分野のうち16分野において貿易収支は悪化する。
TPPに加盟した場合、加盟しない場合よりも、生産量は2032年に112億ドル減る。

Could these instances of clear resistance to the accepted wisdom "free trade" deals be the beginning of the end of corporate globalization?

「自由貿易」の理念に対する明確な抵抗は、企業グローバリズムの終焉の始まりなのか。

I am not suggesting that the governments of developed countries are going to suddenly return to the good old days of the post-war social contract. But what has allowed them to proceed for three decades with political impunity has been the power of ideology to overwhelm evidence and reason.

30年間、政治的な審判を経ずに進められてきたこの政策を可能にしてきたのは、証拠や理由を求める声を圧倒的に抑え込む理念の力であった。

Breaking the spell

Neo-liberalism has held sway for so long it has been almost impossible for ordinary citizens to imagine anything different. But now they can -- not just because of political outliers Donald Trump and Bernie Sanders but because Hillary Clinton, a long-time, fervent backer of neoliberal trade deals, is now watering down such enthusiasm on the campaign trail and even switching her position to oppose the TPP.

ネオリベは強力な理念であり、一般市民がこれに反対することはほとんど不可能であった。しかし、今は可能である。なぜならば、サンダースやドナルド・トランプだけではなく、ネオリベ的貿易の熱烈な推進者であるヒラリー・クリントンがその主張を薄めつつあり、TPPに反対する立場に変わりつつあるからでもある。

Once members of the political elite begin to question the high priests of free trade the spell is broken and all sorts of alternative political narratives present themselves. It takes an accumulation of unlikely suspects breaking with the consensus before that happens and we have already seen some high-profile defectors from the TPP -- including Nobel Laureate Joseph Stiglitz, economist Jeffrey Sachs and in Canada RIM co-founder Jim Balsillie.

政治エリートたちが主要な自由貿易推進者に疑問を呈し始めると、熱狂は収まり、多くの代替案が登場しはじめる。ノーベル賞受賞経済学者スティグリッツや、ジェフリー・サックスなどがTPPに反対している。

http://www.informationclearinghouse.info/article44760.htm

2016年6月6日